Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Angers had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Angers |
44.37% ( -0.14) | 26.35% ( 0.06) | 29.28% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.6% ( -0.23) | 53.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.07% ( -0.19) | 74.93% ( 0.19) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.06% ( -0.17) | 23.94% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% ( -0.24) | 58.17% ( 0.24) |
Angers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.01% ( -0.06) | 32.98% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.43% ( -0.07) | 69.57% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Angers |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 44.37% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |