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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Las Palmas

Atletico
5 - 0
Las Palmas

Llorente (15', 20'), Correa (47', 62' pen.), Depay (87')
Molina (28'), Niguez (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Perrone (4'), El Haddadi (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas

This has all of the makings of a very difficult game for Atletico, with Las Palmas so impressive this season. Simeone's side have been excellent at home in 2023-24, though, and we are backing the Red and Whites to navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
56.93% (1.255 1.26) 23% (-0.272 -0.27) 20.07% (-0.983 -0.98)
Both teams to score 51.82% (-0.634 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.104 -0.1)47.65% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)69.85% (0.095999999999989 0.1)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.405 0.41)16.51% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.75% (0.722 0.72)46.25% (-0.722 -0.72)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-1.065 -1.07)37.94% (1.066 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-1.047 -1.05)74.71% (1.047 1.05)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 56.93%
    Las Palmas 20.07%
    Draw 23%
Atletico MadridDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 11.28% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.16% (0.313 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.268 0.27)
3-1 @ 5.91% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.155 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.66% (0.077 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.29%
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.069 0.07)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 56.93%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.07% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.3% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.07%

How you voted: Atletico vs Las Palmas

Atletico Madrid
85.2%
Draw
8.3%
Las Palmas
6.5%
108
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Las Palmas
2-1
Atletico
Rodriguez (51'), Benito (75')
Morata (83')
De Paul (62'), Gimenez (90+3'), Savic (90+9')
Jan 28, 2018 3.15pm
Atletico
3-0
Las Palmas
Griezmann (61'), Torres (73'), Partey (88')
Niguez (82')

Navarro (67'), Galvez (85')
Aug 26, 2017 9.15pm
Las Palmas
1-5
Atletico
Calleri (58')
Hernan (14'), Bigas (24'), Gonzalez (39'), Viera (62')
Correa (3'), Carrasco (5'), Koke (62', 75'), Partey (88')
Vietto (39')
Apr 29, 2017 5.30pm
Las Palmas
0-5
Atletico

Boateng (6'), Jese (32'), Halilovic (56')
Boateng (65')
Gameiro (2', 18'), Niguez (17'), Partey (72'), Torres (91')
Niguez (14'), Savic (31'), Gaitan (61'), Partey (89')
Jan 10, 2017 8.15pm
Round Five
Atletico
2-3
Las Palmas
Griezmann (49'), Correa (61')
Correa (35'), Lucas (45'), Gabi (69')
Livaja (58', 89'), Ezequiel Garcia (93')
Cabrera Momo (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia33138123738-147
9Villarreal33129125455-145
10Getafe341013114147-643
11Osasuna34116173751-1439
12AlavesAlaves33108153138-738
13Sevilla33911134246-438
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Rayo Vallecano33713132742-1534
16Mallorca34614142740-1332
17Celta Vigo33710163750-1331
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3349203661-2521
RAlmeria33111213267-3514


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