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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 49.61%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
Result | ||
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
49.61% ( -3.01) | 22.04% ( -0.02) | 28.34% ( 3.03) |
Both teams to score 65% ( 2.96) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.3% ( 2.67) | 34.7% ( -2.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.34% ( 2.93) | 56.65% ( -2.93) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.61% ( -0.04) | 14.39% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.71% ( -0.07) | 42.29% ( 0.07) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.93% ( 3.49) | 24.07% ( -3.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.65% ( 4.73) | 58.35% ( -4.72) |
Score Analysis |
PEC Zwolle | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.96) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.94) 3-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.62) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.3) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.05) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.15) Other @ 3.55% Total : 49.62% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.3) Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.49) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.48) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.26) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.27) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.26) Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 80 | 24 | 56 | 75 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
7 | NECNijmegen | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 47 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 26 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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