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Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Minnesota United

Los Angeles
5 - 1
Minnesota Utd

Bouanga (6', 36', 45+1'), Tapias (46' og.), Krastev (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Dotson (4')
Reynoso (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Minnesota United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 0-1 Salt Lake
Monday, October 2 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, October 1 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Minnesota United

Los Angeles have failed to score in each of their last four matches, but we can see them finding the back of the net against a Minnesota side who have not kept a clean sheet in their last six outings. We are also tipping the home side to carry the day come the sound of the final whistle.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 16.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 1-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.42%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawMinnesota United
65.13% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 18.7% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 16.17% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.12% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)34.41% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.67% (-0.105 -0.11)56.33% (0.103 0.1)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)9.94% (0.035 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.12% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)32.88% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.65% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)34.35% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.94% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)71.05% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 65.13%
    Minnesota United 16.17%
    Draw 18.7%
Los Angeles FCDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.72% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.1% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.88% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.04% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.87% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 65.13%
1-1 @ 8.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.7%
1-2 @ 4.5% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 16.17%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Minnesota Utd

Los Angeles FC
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Minnesota United
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 1.30am
Oct 24, 2021 1am
Jul 29, 2021 3.30am
Gameweek 19
Los Angeles
2-2
Minnesota Utd
Vela (40'), Blackmon (77')
Reynoso (49'), Dotson (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1163226161021
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati10532129318
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls104511410417
4Toronto105141113-216
5Columbus Crew10361129315
6New York City FCNY City104241110114
7Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia83411511413
8DC United103431415-113
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta9333139412
10CF MontrealMontreal93331216-412
11Charlotte FCCharlotte FC103251013-311
12Chicago Fire102441118-710
13Orlando City92341117-69
14Nashville SCNashville91531017-78
15New England RevolutionNew England9117618-124

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake10532179818
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
3Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver95221810817
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd95221510517
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles104331816215
6Colorado RapidsColorado104331615115
7Austin FCAustin104331413115
8Houston DynamoHouston9414910-113
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas102531818011
11Portland TimbersPortland102442021-110
12Dallas9225912-38
13Seattle SoundersSeattle91351011-16
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes101181425-114


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