Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
55.4% ( 0.02) | 22.3% ( 0) | 22.3% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.24% ( -0.02) | 41.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.84% ( -0.02) | 64.16% ( 0.02) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.03% ( -0) | 14.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.6% ( -0) | 43.4% ( 0.01) |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.02) | 32.43% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.03) | 68.95% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Austin FC |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.3% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 18 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 17 |
4 | Toronto | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
7 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 13 |
8 | DC United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 11 |
12 | Chicago Fire | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 10 |
13 | Orlando City | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
3 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 15 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 |
7 | Austin FCAustin | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
9 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 10 |
12 | Dallas | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 4 |