Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Getafe in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Getafe.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
52.52% ( 0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.16) | 19.99% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 39.66% ( -1.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.32% ( -1.04) | 63.68% ( 1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.04% ( -0.75) | 82.95% ( 0.75) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( -0.25) | 24.66% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( -0.35) | 59.18% ( 0.35) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.64% ( -1.33) | 47.36% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.24% ( -1.01) | 82.75% ( 1.01) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
10 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
13 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |