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Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The New Lawn
Grimsby Town

Forest Green
2 - 2
Grimsby Town

McAllister (37' pen., 44')
Bernard (6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Wilson (65', 80')
Rose (5'), Holohan (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-2 Grimsby Town

Both Forest Green and Grimsby enter Saturday's clash in buoyant mood following their midweek FA Cup victories, and the two teams will view this fixture as a winnable game in their quest to steer themselves away from danger in League Two. Grimsby's dismal away record bodes well for Forest Green, but we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a share of the spoils in an entertaining contest at the New Lawn. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
45.64% (1.477 1.48) 24.34% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 30.02% (-1.398 -1.4)
Both teams to score 57.93% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5% (-0.314 -0.31)44.5% (0.319 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13% (-0.304 -0.3)66.87% (0.309 0.31)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.37% (0.508 0.51)19.64% (-0.502 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.815 0.81)51.6% (-0.811 -0.81)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-1.069 -1.07)27.91% (1.074 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-1.388 -1.39)63.53% (1.394 1.39)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 45.64%
    Grimsby Town 30.02%
    Draw 24.33%
Forest Green RoversDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.321 0.32)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.152 0.15)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.233 0.23)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.05% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.119 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.48% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.33%
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.214 -0.21)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.195 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.152 -0.15)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.02%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Grimsby Town

Forest Green Rovers
60.0%
Draw
35.0%
Grimsby Town
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 34
Grimsby Town
1-2
Forest Green
Hanson (38')
Matete (30')
Matt (19' pen.), Adams (66')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 9
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Young (24')
Winchester (48'), Godwin-Malife (90+4')

Taylor (90+2'), Green (90+3')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-2
Forest Green
Whitehouse (19'), Driscoll-Glennon (53')
Clifton (35'), Hendrie (91')
Bailey (32'), Aitchison (50')
Kitching (44'), Winchester (55')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Forest Green
1-0
Grimsby Town
Mondal (75')
Winchester (31')
Jan 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Forest Green
3-0
Grimsby Town
Doidge (29', 45'), Brown (50')

Ohman (49'), Rose (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
23Sutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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