MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 09:21:29| >> :300:86500:86500:
Chinese Super League | Gameweek 17
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.35pm UK
Shanghai Stadium

Dalian Pro
0 - 0
Changchun


Wei (50'), Wang (56')
FT

Abdugheni (11'), Abdusalam (16'), Cheng (54'), Yan (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Chinese Super League clash between Dalian Pro and Changchun Yatai, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Dalian Pro
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Changchun 2-2 Zhejiang
Wednesday, July 12 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

We said: Dalian Pro 1-1 Changchun Yatai

Dalian Pro have been the draw specialists in recent weeks, and we are predicting another stalemate for the team at the bottom of the division. Changchun will view this match as a good chance to put three points on the board, but we are expecting a low-scoring draw on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dalian Pro win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dalian Pro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Changchun Yatai win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dalian ProDrawChangchun Yatai
45.49% (0.089999999999996 0.09) 25.81% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 28.71% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1)
Both teams to score 52.3% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (-0.109 -0.11)51.51% (0.114 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (-0.096 -0.1)73.31% (0.102 0.1)
Dalian Pro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)56.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.13 -0.13)32.43% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.148 -0.15)68.95% (0.154 0.15)
Score Analysis
    Dalian Pro 45.49%
    Changchun Yatai 28.71%
    Draw 25.8%
Dalian ProDrawChangchun Yatai
1-0 @ 10.9% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.52%
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 12.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.33% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.25% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 28.71%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 2
Changchun
3-2
Dalian Pro
Serginho (6'), Liao (79', 90+6')
Tsonev (72'), Mamba (90+4')
Jul 3, 2022 10.30am
Gameweek 8
Dalian Pro
2-2
Changchun
Shang (25'), Wei (70')
Fei (73')
Okore (66'), Negrao (86')
Li (90+4')
Jun 12, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Changchun
1-1
Dalian Pro
Lima (59')
Shang (9')
Huang (30'), Shang (39'), Lin (57'), Yan (62')
Aug 15, 2021 9.30am
Gameweek 8
Changchun
3-1
Dalian Pro
Negrao (11', 79'), Serginho (26')
Liangming (90+2')
Tong (50'), Dong (57')
Apr 22, 2021 11am
Dalian Pro
1-2
Changchun
Danielsson (90+3' pen.)
Tao (90+5')
Negrao (36'), Lima (61')
Wang (67')
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