Premier League Gameweek 36
Southampton
May 10, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Man City
  • Lesley Ugochukwu 43' yellowcard
  • Flynn Downes 56' yellowcard

Southampton vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
Leicester 2 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Paul Onuachu

Manchester City

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2025 8.00pm
Man City 1 - 0 Wolves
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Erling Haaland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

Southampton 11.82% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 14.84% ▼ (-0.30)
Manchester City 73.34% ▲ (+0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.19% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 74.72% ▲ (+0.70)
Under 2.5 25.28% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 3.5 54.72% ▲ (+0.90)
Under 3.5 45.28% ▼ (-0.90)
Over 4.5 35.2% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 4.5 64.8% ▼ (-0.88)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 66.14% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 29.47% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 70.53% ▼ (-0.08)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 94.03% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 5.97% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 77.21% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 1.5 22.79% ▼ (-0.73)

Score analysis

Southampton 11.82%
Draw 14.84%
Manchester City 73.34%
Southampton
2-1 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.09)
1-0 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.7% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 11.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 14.84%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 8.03% ▼ (-0.12)
0-3 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 5.76% ▲ (+0.11)
0-1 @ 5.7% ▼ (-0.17)
0-4 @ 5.32% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.03)
1-5 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.11)
2-4 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.07)
0-5 @ 3% ▲ (+0.10)
2-5 @ 1.76% ▲ (+0.07)
1-6 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.08)
0-6 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
3-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 73.34%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 9
Man City
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Southampton
  • Erling Haaland 5' goal
  • Erling Haaland 5' goal
  • Mateo Kovacic 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 42'
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 42'
  • yellowcard Russell Martin 43'
  • yellowcard Russell Martin 43'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 48'
  • yellowcard Adam Armstrong 48'
  • yellowcard Adam Lallana 56'
  • yellowcard Adam Lallana 56'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Southampton
Apr 8, 2023 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT
Man City
  • Sekou Mara 72' goal
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 45'
  • goal Jack Grealish 58'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 68'
  • goal Julian Alvarez 75'
EFL Cup
Southampton
Jan 11, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Man City
  • Sekou Mara 23' goal
  • Moussa Djenepo 28' goal
Premier League Gameweek 10
Man City
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Southampton
  • Joao Cancelo 20' goal
  • Phil Foden 32' goal
  • Riyad Mahrez 49' goal
  • Erling Braut Haaland 65' goal
FA Cup
Southampton
Mar 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT St. Mary's Stadium
Man City
  • Aymeric Laporte 45'+2' goal
  • goal Raheem Sterling 12'
  • goal Kevin De Bruyne 62'
  • yellowcard Zack Steffen 71'
  • goal Phil Foden 75'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 78'
Premier League Gameweek 23
Southampton
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Man City
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 7' goal
  • Jan Bednarek 33' yellowcard
  • Stuart Armstrong 79' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Elyounoussi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Aymeric Laporte 65'

Form Data

Leicester 2 - 0 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 2 Fulham
West Ham 1 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 0 - 3 Aston Villa
Spurs 3 - 1 Southampton
Southampton 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Man City 1 - 0 Wolves
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 2 - 1 Aston Villa
Everton 0 - 2 Man City
Man City 5 - 2 Crystal Palace
Man Utd 0 - 0 Man City

Build-up

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