Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.34%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.17%) and 0-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.17%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.