/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fevelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmcilog.png)
-
Michael Keane
55'
-
Idrissa Gueye
62'
-
Tim Iroegbunam
86'
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Jordan Pickford
90'+1'
-
Nico O'Reilly
84'
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Mateo Kovacic
90'+2'
Everton vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Result
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F16%2Fmateo-kovacic.jpg)
Team News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fmanuel-akanji.jpg)
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F16%2Fpep-guardiola.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F46%2Fstefan-ortega.jpg)
Injuries & Suspensions
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F03%2Fphil-foden.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Everton win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
Result
Everton
19.42%
▼
(-1.89)
Draw
21.47%
▼
(-0.65)
Manchester City
59.11%
▲
(+2.54)
Both Teams to Score:
55.79%
▼
(-0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.16%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 2.5
41.84%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 3.5
35.76%
▲
(+0.32)
Under 3.5
64.24%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 4.5
18.83%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 4.5
81.17%
▼
(-0.24)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5
64.74%
▼
(-1.69)
Under 0.5
35.26%
▲
(+1.70)
Over 1.5
27.99%
▼
(-1.80)
Under 1.5
72.02%
▲
(+1.81)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5
86.18%
▲
(+0.91)
Under 0.5
13.82%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 1.5
58.83%
▲
(+1.76)
Under 1.5
41.17%
▼
(-1.75)
Score analysis
Everton
19.42%
Draw
21.46%
Manchester City
59.11%
Everton
2-1
@
5.24%
▼
(-0.41)
1-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.32)
2-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 19.42%
1-0 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.32)
2-0 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.30)
3-1 @ 1.82% ▼ (-0.24)
3-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 19.42%
Draw
1-1
@
10.05%
▼
(-0.28)
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.46%
2-2 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.22)
0-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.46%
Manchester City
1-2
@
9.95%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.48)
1-3 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.51)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.22)
0-4 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.34)
2-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 59.11%
0-1 @ 9.64% ▲ (+0.18)
0-2 @ 9.54% ▲ (+0.48)
1-3 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.25)
0-3 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.51)
2-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.22)
0-4 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.34)
2-4 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.04)
1-5 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.13)
0-5 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.18)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 59.11%
Head to Head
Form Data
Build-up
News
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F16%2Fmanuel-akanji-phil-foden_1.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F08%2Fbeto.jpg)