Everton vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.