Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 18, 2025 at 12pm UK

Goodison Park

Everton
2 - 0
Southampton

Ndiaye (6', 45+2')
Garner (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Downes (80')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Everton

All competitions

Last Game: Fulham 1-3 Everton
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 0-0 Man City
Saturday, May 10 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.

Result
Everton	Draw	Southampton
51.65% ( -0.05)	22.96% ( 0.01)	25.38% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.47% (

-0.02)

41.53% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.07% (

-0.02)

63.93% (

0.02)

Everton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.83% (

-0.02)

16.17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.37% (

-0.04)

45.63% (

0.04)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

0.02)

29.73% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

0.02)

65.79% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Everton 51.65%

Southampton 25.39%

Draw 22.96%

Everton	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.62% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.46% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 25.39%