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Ross Stewart
56'
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Kieran Tierney
43'
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Martin Odegaard
89'
Southampton vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
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The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (7.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Southampton win it was 2-1 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Arsenal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Southampton Goals
Arsenal Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.25%
2-2 @ 5.36% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 19.19%
0-2 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.36% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.03)
2-4 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-5 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 63.56%
Head to Head
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Kai Havertz
58'
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Gabriel Martinelli
68'
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Bukayo Saka
88'
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Kyle Walker-Peters
23'
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Jan Bednarek
34'
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Tyler Obling
38'
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Cameron Archer
55'
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Gabriel Martinelli
20'
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Martin Odegaard
88'
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Bukayo Saka
90'
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Carlos Alcaraz
1'
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Theo Walcott
14'
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Duje Caleta-Car
66'
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Stuart Armstrong
65'
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Granit Xhaka
11'
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Jan Bednarek
44'
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Armando Broja
56'
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Shane Long
90'+5'
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Ben White
90'+1'
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Gabriel Magalhaes
3'
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Bukayo Saka
17'
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Alexandre Lacazette
21'
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Martin Odegaard
27'
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Gabriel Magalhaes
62'
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Stuart Armstrong
3'
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Caleb Watts
90'
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Nicolas Pepe
8'
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Hector Bellerin
19'
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Bukayo Saka
39'
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Nicolas Pepe
70'
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Alexandre Lacazette
72'
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