Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.