Champions League
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David Alaba
4'
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Raul Asencio del Rosario
11'
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Vinicius Junior
67'
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Antonio Rudiger
85'
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David Raya
36'
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Bukayo Saka
65'
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Thomas Partey
85'
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Gabriel Martinelli
90'+3'
Real Madrid vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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News
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News
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News
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The match
Result
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Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result
Real Madrid
39.7%
▼
(-0.12)
Draw
23.39%
▲
(+0.02)
Arsenal
36.91%
▲
(+0.11)
Both Teams to Score:
63.77%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.13%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 2.5
37.87%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
39.88%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 3.5
60.12%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 4.5
22.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 4.5
77.96%
▲
(+0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
80.52%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
19.48%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
48.65%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 1.5
51.35%
▲
(+0.13)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5
79.2%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
20.8%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
46.54%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
53.46%
▼
(-0.05)
Score analysis
Real Madrid
39.7%
Draw
23.38%
Arsenal
36.91%
Real Madrid
2-1
@
8.51%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 39.7%
1-0 @ 6.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 39.7%
Draw
1-1
@
10.4%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.38%
2-2 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.38%
Arsenal
1-2
@
8.17%
▲
(+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.91%
0-1 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 36.91%
Head to Head
Champions League
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Thomas Partey
54'
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Declan Rice
58'
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Declan Rice
70'
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Mikel Merino
75'
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Eduardo Camavinga
69'
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Eduardo Camavinga
90'+4'
Pre-Season Friendlies
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Nacho
6'
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Nacho
9'
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Dani Carvajal
26'
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Gareth Bale
56'
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Marco Asensio
59'
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Alexandre Lacazette
10'
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
24'
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Sokratis
38'
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Sokratis
40'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
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News
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News
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