Champions League
Arsenal
Mar 12, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Emirates Stadium
PSV
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 6' goal
  • Declan Rice 37' goal
  • Jakub Kiwior 41' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 63' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Perisic 18'
  • yellowcard Isaac Babadi 34'
  • goal Couhaib Driouech 70'

Arsenal vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.55%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Arsenal 53.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 20.73% ▼ (-0.16)
PSV Eindhoven 25.77% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.55% ▲ (+0.70)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.6% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 2.5 30.39% ▼ (-0.86)
Over 3.5 48.34% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 3.5 51.66% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 4.5 29.23% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 4.5 70.77% ▼ (-0.91)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 88.28% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 0.5 11.71% ▼ (-0.31)
Over 1.5 63.17% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 36.83% ▼ (-0.65)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5 76.51% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 0.5 23.48% ▼ (-0.53)
Over 1.5 42.49% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 1.5 57.51% ▼ (-0.77)

Score analysis

Arsenal 53.5%
Draw 20.73%
PSV Eindhoven 25.77%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.16)
1-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.22)
3-2 @ 4.75% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.08)
4-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 1.51% ▲ (+0.05)
4-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.55% ▼ (-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.64% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.14)
3-3 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.73%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 3.99% ▼ (-0.14)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.89% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 25.77%

Head to Head

Champions League
PSV
Mar 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
7
HT : 1 3
FT Philips Stadion
Arsenal
  • Noa Lang 43' goal
  • Tyrell Malacia 89' yellowcard
  • goal Jurrien Maduro 18'
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 21'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 24'
  • goal Mikel Merino 31'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 42'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 47'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 48'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 69'
  • goal Martin Odegaard 73'
  • goal Riccardo Calafiori 85'
Champions League
PSV
Dec 12, 2023 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Philips Stadion
Arsenal
  • Yorbe Vertessen 50' goal
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 42'
Champions League
Arsenal
Sep 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Emirates Stadium
PSV
  • Bukayo Saka 8' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 20' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 38' goal
  • Ben White 42' yellowcard
  • Martin Odegaard 70' goal
  • yellowcard Olivier Boscagli 48'
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 80'
  • yellowcard Jerdy Schouten 87'
Europa League
PSV
Oct 27, 2022 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Joey Veerman 56' goal
  • Luuk de Jong 63' goal
Europa League
Arsenal
Oct 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
PSV
  • Granit Xhaka 71' goal

Form Data

Man Utd 1 - 1 Arsenal
PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal
Nott'm Forest 0 - 0 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 1 West Ham
Leicester 0 - 2 Arsenal
Newcastle 2 - 0 Arsenal
PSV 2 - 1 Heerenveen
PSV 1 - 7 Arsenal
Go Ahead Eagles 3 - 2 PSV
PSV 1 - 2 Go Ahead Eagles
PSV 3 - 1 Juventus
PSV 2 - 2 Utrecht

Build-up

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