Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.