Champions League

Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg

Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK

Sydney Football Stadium

Juventus
2 - 1
PSV

(PSV Eindhoven win 4-3 on aggregate)

McKennie (34'), Mbangula (82')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Perisic (56')
de Jong (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Juventus and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Como 1-2 Juventus
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
25.12% ( -4.85)	22.82% ( -0.59)	52.06% ( 5.45)

Both teams to score 59.13% (

-2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.88% (

-0.88)

41.12% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.49% (

-0.9)

63.51% (

0.9)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.29% (

-3.9)

29.71% (

3.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.23% (

-5)

65.77% (

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.12% (

1.68)

15.88% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91% (

45.09% (

-3)

Score Analysis

Juventus 25.12%

PSV Eindhoven 52.06%

Draw 22.81%

Juventus	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.84) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.68) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.68) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.46) 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.47) Other @ 3.16% Total : 25.12%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 1.13) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.56) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.92) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.53) 2-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.58% Total : 52.06%