/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Frsblog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fpsvlog.png)
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Cherif Ndiaye
71'
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Nasser Djiga
77'
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Luuk de Jong
17'
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Luuk de Jong
24'
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Ryan Flamingo
43'
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Ryan Flamingo
50'
Red Star Belgrade vs PSV Eindhoven - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F50%2Fpeter-bosz.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result
Red Star Belgrade
25.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Draw
19.58%
▲
(+0.04)
PSV Eindhoven
55.27%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
71.36%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
74.72%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 2.5
25.27%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 3.5
54.72%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
45.28%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 4.5
35.21%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 4.5
64.79%
▲
(+0.08)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5
78.92%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
21.07%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
46.11%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
53.88%
▼
(-0.05)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5
90.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
9.58%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
67.94%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
32.06%
▲
(+0.12)
Score analysis
Red Star Belgrade
25.14%
Draw
19.58%
PSV Eindhoven
55.27%
Red Star Belgrade
2-1
@
5.74%
▲
(+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.14%
3-2 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.45% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
4-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.14%
Draw
1-1
@
7.37%
▲
(+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.73%
0-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.58%
2-2 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.73%
0-0 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 19.58%
PSV Eindhoven
1-2
@
8.65%
▲
(+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 55.27%
1-3 @ 6.76% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 5.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 3.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 55.27%