Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Jan 21, 2025 at 8pm UK

Stadion Rajko Mitic

Red Star
2 - 3
PSV

Ndiaye (71'), Djiga (77')

FT(HT: 0-3)

de Jong (17', 24'), Flamingo (43')
Flamingo (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Star Belgrade and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Red Star Belgrade

Last Game: AC Milan 2-1 Red Star
Wednesday, December 11 at 8pm in Champions League

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 3-1 PSV
Saturday, January 18 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 55.27%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.76%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 2-1 (5.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Red Star Belgrade	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
25.14% ( 0.09)	19.58% ( 0.03)	55.27% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 71.36% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

74.72% (

-0.06)

25.27% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

54.72% (

-0.08)

45.28% (

0.07)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

0.02)

21.07% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.11% (

0.04)

53.88% (

-0.05)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.41% (

-0.05)

9.58% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.94% (

-0.11)

32.06% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Red Star Belgrade 25.14%

PSV Eindhoven 55.27%

Draw 19.58%

Red Star Belgrade	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.14%	1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.73% 0-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 19.58%	1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.6% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.28% Total : 55.27%