Eredivisie | Gameweek 19

Jan 18, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
3 - 1
PSV

Krastev (2', 38'), Vente (90+4')
Monteiro (33'), Graves (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Bakayoko (25')
de Jong (54'), Ledezma (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, January 11 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 5-4 Excelsior
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
8.11% ( 0.15)	12.41% ( -0.01)	79.48% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

0.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.23% (

0.67)

24.77% (

-0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.38% (

0.87)

44.62% (

-0.87)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.81% (

0.88)

40.19% (

-0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.17% (

0.79)

76.83% (

-0.79)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.14% (

0.11)

4.86% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.44% (

0.32)

19.56% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 8.11%

PSV Eindhoven 79.48%

Draw 12.41%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.75% Total : 8.11%	1-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.41%	0-3 @ 9% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 6.81% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.22) 0-5 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 0-6 @ 2.08% 1-6 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 2-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.07) Other @ 6.16% Total : 79.48%