Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.07%).