Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 75.19%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 10.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (3.07%).

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	SBV Excelsior
75.19% ( 0.2)	14.02% ( -0.12)	10.78% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.93% (

0.38)

24.06% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.32% (

0.5)

43.68% (

-0.5)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.6% (

0.11)

5.39% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.85% (

0.33)

21.14% (

-0.33)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.45% (

0.16)

34.54% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

0.16)

71.26% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 75.19%

SBV Excelsior 10.78%

Draw 14.02%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 8.22% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 6% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.02) 6-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.22% Total : 75.19%	1-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 14.02%	1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.78%