Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Emmen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
46.11% ( -0.12)	23.24% ( 0.04)	30.65% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 62.2% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.95% (

-0.17)

39.04% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.63% (

-0.18)

61.36% (

0.17)

Emmen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71% (

-0.11)

17.28% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37% (

-0.19)

47.62% (

0.19)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

-0.04)

24.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62% (

-0.05)

59.37% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Emmen 46.11%

SBV Excelsior 30.65%

Draw 23.24%

Emmen	Draw	SBV Excelsior
2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 46.11%	1-1 @ 10.49% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.24%	1-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.19% 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 30.65%