Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.