Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 57.19%. A win for De Graafschap had a probability of 21.8% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.06%) and 1-0 (7.78%). The likeliest De Graafschap win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Emmen would win this match.