Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.36%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De Graafschap	Draw	Dordrecht
51.81% ( -0.58)	21.01% ( 0.19)	27.17% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 67.9% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.49% (

-0.6)

30.51% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.19% (

-0.72)

51.81% (

0.72)

De Graafschap Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.76% (

-0.37)

12.23% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.06% (

-0.78)

37.93% (

0.79)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.07)

22.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.11)

56.27% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

De Graafschap 51.81%

Dordrecht 27.17%

Draw 21.01%

De Graafschap	Draw	Dordrecht
2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.06) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 51.81%	1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.01%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 27.17%