De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
3 - 1
Jong PSV

Nagalo (7' og.), van Gilst (21', 71')
Fortes (4'), Symons (50')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Uneken (45+4')
Geerts (57'), Bresser (81')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and Jong PSV.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Last Game: Telstar 2-2 De Graafschap
Saturday, October 12 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong PSV

All competitions
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-0 Jong PSV
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 58.76%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 19%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.12%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (5.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawJong PSV
58.76% (-1.446 -1.45)18.96% (0.39 0.39)22.28% (1.057 1.06)
Both teams to score 70.03% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.48% (-0.508 -0.51)25.51% (0.509 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.41% (-0.66 -0.66)45.59% (0.662 0.66)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.15% (-0.461 -0.46)8.85% (0.463 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.68% (-1.138 -1.14)30.32% (1.139 1.14)
Jong PSV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.83% (0.48700000000001 0.49)23.16% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.96% (0.707 0.71)57.04% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 58.76%
    Jong PSV 22.28%
    Draw 18.96%
De GraafschapDrawJong PSV
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.12% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-2 @ 5.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-0 @ 4.97% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-2 @ 3.16% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.166 -0.17)
5-1 @ 2.09% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 4.72%
Total : 58.76%
1-1 @ 7.27% (0.183 0.18)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.54% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.05% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.207 0.21)
2-3 @ 3.14% (0.099 0.1)
0-1 @ 3% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.19% (0.131 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.078 0.08)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.063 0.06)
3-4 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.28%

Head to Head
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 20
De Graafschap
4-2
Jong PSV
Schenk (5'), Van Gilst (15', 38'), Mahi (90+3')
Brittijn (35')
Abed (24'), Gilbert (85')
Oppegard (27'), Bars (76'), Jimenez (90+1')
Sep 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Jong PSV
1-3
De Graafschap
Abed (18')
Land (42'), Abed (89')
Brittijn (29'), Flakus Bosilj (50'), Van der Heiden (83')
Onal (39'), Buttner (47')
Mar 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
Jong PSV
2-1
De Graafschap
Priske (58', 86')
Onal (26')
Nov 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
De Graafschap
3-2
Jong PSV
Onal (24', 80'), Yadir (90+7')
Fofana (22'), Savio (70')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 37
De Graafschap
1-1
Jong PSV
Schuurman (8')
Fortes (90')
Bakayoko (60')
Felipe (68'), Thomas (88'), Priske (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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