De Graafschap
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 0
FC Eindhoven

van Gilst (24'), Brittijn (85')
van Gilst (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (90'), Warmerdam (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and FC Eindhoven.

Form, Standings, Stats

De Graafschap

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Roda JC 1-4 De Graafschap
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

FC Eindhoven

All competitions
Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawFC Eindhoven
55.96% (0.273 0.27)21.32% (-0.198 -0.2)22.72% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.54% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.863 0.86)36.63% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.21% (0.933 0.93)58.79% (-0.928 -0.93)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (0.372 0.37)13.07% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (0.744 0.74)39.66% (-0.739 -0.74)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.422 0.42)29.21% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.516 0.52)65.15% (-0.511 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 55.97%
    FC Eindhoven 22.72%
    Draw 21.32%
De GraafschapDrawFC Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.089999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.074 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 55.97%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 22.72%

How you voted: De Graafschap vs FC Eindhoven

De Graafschap
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Eindhoven
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Jan 19, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 22
FC Eindhoven
0-1
De Graafschap
Seuntjens (66')
Onal (63'), van Gilst (89')
Oct 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 12
De Graafschap
2-1
FC Eindhoven
Warmerdam (40'), Colyn (54')
Rottier (35')
Amevor (55'), Dorenbosch (79')
Feb 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 26
FC Eindhoven
0-4
De Graafschap
Neghli (54', 59', 90+2'), Raterink (75')
Dec 11, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
De Graafschap
1-2
FC Eindhoven
Acheffay (80')
Dorenbosch (53'), Bannis (77')
May 13, 2022 7pm
First Round 1st Leg
FC Eindhoven
3-1
De Graafschap
Ogenia (10'), Brym (22'), Sleegers (24')
Brym (30')
Kaandorp (16')
Van Heertum (30'), Lelieveld (31'), Korte (74')