Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.