Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 64.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (4.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.