Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.