Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.