Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for FC Volendam had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.52%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest FC Volendam win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Jong Ajax	Draw	FC Volendam
50.25% ( -0.02)	22.47% ( -0)	27.28% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.52% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.42% (

0.02)

37.58% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.18% (

0.02)

59.81% (

-0.03)

Jong Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78% (

15.22% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.12% (

43.87% (

-0.01)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

0.03)

26.26% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

0.03)

61.37% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Jong Ajax 50.25%

FC Volendam 27.28%

Draw 22.47%

Jong Ajax	Draw	FC Volendam
2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.01% Total : 50.25%	1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.47%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 27.28%