Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 39.29%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 38.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 2-0 (4.85%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Dordrecht	Draw	Vitesse
39.29% ( 0.12)	22.54% ( 0)	38.17% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 67.19% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.53% (

-0.03)

33.46% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.74% (

-0.04)

55.26% (

0.03)

Dordrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.21% (

0.04)

17.78% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.5% (

0.06)

48.5% (

-0.06)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.07)

18.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.66% (

-0.12)

49.33% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Dordrecht 39.29%

Vitesse 38.17%

Draw 22.54%

Dordrecht	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.06% Total : 39.29%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.52% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 38.17%