Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 3-1 (5.23%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.