Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 51.31%. A win for TOP Oss had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest TOP Oss win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.