Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.68%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.