Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 13, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
De Geusselt
VVV-Venlo

MVV
2 - 0
VVV-Venlo

Silva Timas (2'), Braken (88')
Aktas (37'), Mmaee (64'), Coomans (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Janssen (79')
Janssen (90+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and VVV-Venlo.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: Emmen 1-1 MVV
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last Game: VVV-Venlo 0-1 Cambuur
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 48.96%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawVVV-Venlo
48.96% (0.058999999999997 0.06)23.11% (0.132 0.13)27.93% (-0.192 -0.19)
Both teams to score 60.78% (-0.632 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-0.76600000000001 -0.77)40.11% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.52% (-0.796 -0.8)62.48% (0.797 0.8)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-0.265 -0.27)16.61% (0.265 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)46.44% (0.479 0.48)
VVV-Venlo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.89% (-0.52300000000001 -0.52)27.11% (0.523 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.5% (-0.689 -0.69)62.5% (0.689 0.69)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 48.96%
    VVV-Venlo 27.93%
    Draw 23.1%
MVV MaastrichtDrawVVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.09% (0.213 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 48.96%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 6.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 5.88% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.93%

Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 38
MVV
2-0
VVV-Venlo
Rocha (17'), Smeets (29')
Remans (61')

van Zutphen (74'), Kluskens (79')
Aug 13, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 1
VVV-Venlo
1-3
MVV
Jansson (76')
Slegers (47'), Kleinen (49'), Kostons (87' pen.)
Mar 3, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 27
MVV
0-1
VVV-Venlo
Berden (14')
Dec 11, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
VVV-Venlo
2-1
MVV
Klaasen (73'), Venema (86')
Van Bommel (56')
Feb 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 25
MVV
0-5
VVV-Venlo
El Azrak (3', 14', 40'), Venema (43'), Braken (72')
Pachonik (31')