Eerste Divisie Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT De Geusselt
  • Dailon Rocha 17' goal
  • Bryan Smeets 29' goal
  • Mart Remans 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego van Zutphen 74'
  • yellowcard Joep Kluskens 79'

MVV Maastricht vs VVV-Venlo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
Jong AZ 2 - 3 MVV
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Dailon Rocha

VVV-Venlo

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2024 7.00pm
VVV-Venlo 2 - 0 Jong Ajax
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Levi Smans

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.37%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.

Result

MVV Maastricht 41.41% (+0.05)
Draw 23% (+0.01)
VVV-Venlo 35.59% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.08% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.91% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.08% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 41.81% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 58.19% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 23.61% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 76.38% (+0.02)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5 82.01% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.99% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 51.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 48.84% (-0.03)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5 79.35% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 20.65% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.78% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 53.22% (+0.06)

Score analysis

MVV Maastricht 41.41%
Draw 23%
VVV-Venlo 35.59%
MVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.13% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 41.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.05% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.71% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23%
VVV-Venlo
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 4.62% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 35.59%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 3.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Covebo Stadion - De Koel
  • Simon Jansson 76' goal
  • goal Ferre Slegers 47'
  • goal Marco Kleinen 49'
  • goal Koen Kostons 87'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2023 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Martijn Berden 14'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2022 1.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robert Klaasen 73' goal
  • Nick Venema 86' goal
  • goal Ruben van Bommel 56'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2022 7.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT
  • goal Rayan El Azrak 3'
  • goal Rayan El Azrak 14'
  • yellowcard Tobias Pachonik 31'
  • goal Rayan El Azrak 40'
  • goal Nick Venema 43'
  • goal Sven Braken 72'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 10
Oct 9, 2021 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Post 21' yellowcard
  • Tristan Dekker 41' goal
  • Carl Johansson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Orhan Dzepar 39'