Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.