Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
FC Volendam	Draw	VVV-Venlo
50.02% ( 0.09)	22.95% ( -0.01)	27.03% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 60.57% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.95% (

-0.01)

40.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.58% (

-0.01)

62.42% (

0.01)

FC Volendam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.79% (

0.03)

16.21% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.3% (

0.05)

45.7% (

-0.05)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.29% (

-0.06)

27.71% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.72% (

-0.08)

63.28% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

FC Volendam 50.02%

VVV-Venlo 27.03%

Draw 22.94%

FC Volendam	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.02%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.03%