Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Helmond Sport win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Helmond Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.