Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 62.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.