Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 52.99%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.