Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.