Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.