Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.51%) and 1-0 (5.16%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.