Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 17
Nov 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
2 - 0
Jong Ajax

Naujoks (2'), Duijvestijn (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Verschuren (37'), Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu (59'), Faberski (68')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong Ajax.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Jong Utrecht 0-0 Excelsior
Tuesday, November 26 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong Ajax

All competitions
Last Game: Volendam 3-0 Jong Ajax
Monday, November 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 3-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.26%), while for a Jong Ajax win it was 1-2 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong Ajax
74.25% (0.15300000000001 0.15)14.65% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)11.1% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.21% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.51% (0.127 0.13)26.49% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.16% (0.16 0.16)46.84% (-0.154 -0.15)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (0.058000000000007 0.06)6.08% (-0.0529 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.9% (0.15100000000001 0.15)23.1% (-0.146 -0.15)
Jong Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.11% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)35.89% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.33% (-0.038 -0.04)72.67% (0.042999999999992 0.04)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 74.25%
    Jong Ajax 11.1%
    Draw 14.65%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong Ajax
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8.18% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.99% (0.014 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.73% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.59% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 3.21% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 3.13% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.64% (0.01 0.01)
6-1 @ 1.5% (0.015 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 74.25%
1-1 @ 6.26% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 14.65%
1-2 @ 3.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-1 @ 2.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.1%

How you voted: Excelsior vs Jong Ajax

SBV Excelsior
100%
Draw
0.0%
Jong Ajax
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
6-2
Jong Ajax
Salah-Eddine (32' og.), Dallinga (38', 71'), Niemeijer (45+1'), El Yaakoubi (57'), Raatsie (90+3' og.)
Rasmussen (4'), Van Gelderen (64')
Hillen (34'), Salah-Eddine (74')
Aug 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 4
Jong Ajax
1-2
Excelsior
Taylor (89' pen.)
Baas (40'), Fitz-Jim (48'), Warmerdam (61'), van Gelderen (86'), Regeer (90'), Gorter (90')
El Yaakoubi (49'), Azarkan (76')
Baas (51'), Nieuwpoort (77'), Wieffer (90')
Mar 1, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
5-1
Jong Ajax
Hillen (8' og.), Baas (20'), Niemeijer (24'), Mendes Moreira (82'), Zwarts (90+5')
Aberkane (80')
Taylor (74' pen.)
Kasanwirjo (54')
Sep 28, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Jong Ajax
3-0
Excelsior
Brobbey (52'), Traore (59'), Taylor (87')
Taylor (30')

Matthys (90+2')
Mar 16, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 30
Jong Ajax
P-P
Excelsior