Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 60.46%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 19.78% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (5.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Roda JC in this match.