Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 54.64%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.