Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 11
Oct 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
3 - 2
MVV

Fini (35'), van Duinen (87' pen.), Armantrading (90+2')
Naujoks (69'), Seymor (81'), van Duinen (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Silva Timas (9'), Loeffen (42' og.)
Aktas (81'), Hermans (90+3'), Schenk (90+6')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Roda JC 3-0 Excelsior
Friday, October 4 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: MVV 2-0 VVV-Venlo
Sunday, October 13 at 1.30pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 69.61%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 3-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawMVV Maastricht
69.61% (-0.66000000000001 -0.66)16.59% (0.187 0.19)13.79% (0.471 0.47)
Both teams to score 61.13% (0.684 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.84% (0.22499999999999 0.22)29.15% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.83% (0.276 0.28)50.16% (-0.277 -0.28)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.43% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)7.57% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.9% (-0.197 -0.2)27.1% (0.196 0.2)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14% (0.79400000000001 0.79)33.86% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47% (0.85 0.85)70.53% (-0.84999999999999 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 69.61%
    MVV Maastricht 13.79%
    Draw 16.59%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawMVV Maastricht
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-1 @ 7.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.35% (-0.184 -0.18)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-1 @ 5.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.74% (-0.138 -0.14)
3-2 @ 4.31% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.78% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 2.65% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-2 @ 1.44% (0.015 0.02)
6-1 @ 1.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
6-0 @ 1.05% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-3 @ 1% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 69.61%
1-1 @ 7.16% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 2.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 16.59%
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.1 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.78% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.5% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Excelsior vs MVV

SBV Excelsior
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
MVV Maastricht
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 35
MVV
1-1
Excelsior
Remans (6')
Alberg (63'), Zeegers (72')
Niemeijer (2')
Vlasenko (84')
El Yaakoubi (83')
Dec 10, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 19
Excelsior
2-1
MVV
Dallinga (21', 50')
Wieffer (84' og.)
Zeegers (33'), Alberg (75')
Feb 20, 2021 3.30pm
Gameweek 25
MVV
1-0
Excelsior
Dianessy (88')
Oct 16, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 8
Excelsior
2-0
MVV
Baas (52'), Mar Omarsson (55')

Stavitski (24')
Mar 6, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 29
Excelsior
3-0
MVV
Mar Omarsson (64', 79'), Vloet (75')

Vermijl (37'), Mares (42')