Excelsior
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 8
Sep 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
4 - 2
Jong AZ

Omorowa (19' pen.), Naujoks (65'), Sanches Fernandes (76', 90+4' pen.)
Widell (21'), Bronkhorst (26'), Naujoks (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Smit (6'), Daal (11')
Deen (16'), Esajas (45+1'), Smit (90+1')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between SBV Excelsior and Jong AZ.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 Excelsior
Friday, September 20 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Jong AZ

All competitions
Last Game: Jong AZ 2-2 De Graafschap
Monday, September 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 17.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.54%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong AZ
64.54% (0.055999999999997 0.06)18.05% (0.038999999999998 0.04)17.41% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 64.63% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.28% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)28.71% (0.37 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.37% (-0.451 -0.45)49.63% (0.456 0.46)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.49% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)8.5% (0.09 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.54% (-0.215 -0.22)29.46% (0.222 0.22)
Jong AZ Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.63% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)29.37% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.65% (-0.403 -0.4)65.35% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 64.54%
    Jong AZ 17.41%
    Draw 18.05%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawJong AZ
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.64% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.59% (0.101 0.1)
3-0 @ 6.23% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 6.16% (0.107 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.68% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.84% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 2.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.32% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.89% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.18% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 64.54%
1-1 @ 7.54% (0.063 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.5% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 18.05%
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.06% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.89% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 17.41%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 36
Excelsior
3-3
Jong AZ
Niemeijer (30', 66'), Postma (75' og.)
Buurmeester (24', 57'), De Jong (81')
Stam (35')
Dec 6, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Jong AZ
0-2
Excelsior

Buurmeester (65'), Taabouni (66')
Taabouni (84')
Azarkan (80'), Dallinga (90+1')
Azarkan (45')
May 7, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 37
Jong AZ
2-1
Excelsior
Duin (17', 45+1' pen.)
Berkhout (8')
Mar Omarsson (7')
Wieffer (45')
Baas (78')
Nov 20, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 13
Excelsior
4-1
Jong AZ
Mar Omarsson (56'), Velthuis (67' og.), Mendes Moreira (83'), Meijer (90+3')
Kunst (88')
Castillo (29')
Feb 14, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 26
Excelsior
3-3
Jong AZ
Vloet (53'), Mar Omarsson (75'), Mendes Moreira (80')
Mendes Moreira (73')
Church (34'), Margaret (51'), Correia (82')