Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 13

Nov 4, 2024 at 7pm UK

Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch

Jong Utrecht
4 - 3
MVV

Andersen (28'), Blake (30'), Edhart (76'), Mukeh (90+6')
Mukeh (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Buifrahi (47'), Librici (63'), Braken (71')
Zeegers (81'), Penders (90+5'), Braken (90+3')

Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between Jong FC Utrecht and MVV Maastricht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jong FC Utrecht

All competitions

Last Game: Dordrecht 3-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, October 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

MVV Maastricht

All competitions

Last Game: MVV 1-2 Helmond
Sunday, October 27 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	MVV Maastricht
39.56% ( 0.36)	25.54% ( 0.11)	34.89% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 55.63% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.68% (

-0.57)

48.32% (

0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.54% (

-0.52)

70.46% (

0.52)

Jong FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.07)

24.11% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.59% (

-0.1)

58.41% (

0.1)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.3% (

-0.54)

26.7% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.04% (

-0.72)

61.96% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Jong FC Utrecht 39.56%

MVV Maastricht 34.89%

Draw 25.54%

Jong FC Utrecht	Draw	MVV Maastricht
1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.89%