Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 12
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
1 - 2
Helmond

Silva Timas (23')
Sits (81')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pachonik (25'), Sits (78')
Dizdarevic (51'), van den Hurk (84')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Helmond Sport.

Form, Standings, Stats

MVV Maastricht

All competitions
Last Game: Excelsior 3-2 MVV
Friday, October 18 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Helmond Sport

All competitions
Last Game: Helmond 2-1 Roda JC
Monday, October 21 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawHelmond Sport
47.46% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.35% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)29.19% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 60.86% (0.198 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59% (0.245 0.25)40.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21% (0.249 0.25)62.79% (-0.249 -0.25)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (0.085999999999999 0.09)17.29% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (0.152 0.15)47.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
Helmond Sport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.58% (0.164 0.16)26.41% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.42% (0.216 0.22)61.58% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 47.46%
    Helmond Sport 29.19%
    Draw 23.34%
MVV MaastrichtDrawHelmond Sport
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 4%
Total : 47.46%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.57% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.62% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.34%
1-2 @ 7.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 29.19%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 33
MVV
3-0
Helmond
Tasci (23'), Rocha (71'), Remans (79' pen.)
Kleinen (70')

van Hove (56')
Dec 8, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 18
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Kaars (29')
Ostrc (67'), Marin (90+4')
Slegers (79'), Rocha (90+2')
El Basri (31')
Apr 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 32
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Van Keilegom (51')
Kostons (33'), Blummel (69')
Nov 4, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 14
MVV
4-0
Helmond
Van Bommel (23'), Souren (37'), Lorentzen (51' og.), Van der Meer (85' og.)
Apr 1, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 32
Helmond
1-2
MVV
Seys (42')
Lion (27'), De Bie (36')
Keulen (52'), Dzepar (67')
Dzepar (54')